“Bottom-up” estimates, such as those used in the EPA Inventory of U.S. The two primary methods in current use – “bottom up” inventories and “top down” atmospheric studies used in regional campaigns – each have their strengths and weaknesses. top-downĪccurately calculating emissions of carbon dioxide from burning fossil fuels has challenged scientists for years. “We can then add these up and compare to other emissions estimates at various time and space scales” Bottom-up vs. “It provides us with a tracer we can track to sources on the ground. “Carbon-14 allows us to pull back the veil and isolate CO 2 emitted from fossil fuel combustion,” said Lehman, one of the paper’s authors. While the link between fossil CO 2 emissions and atmospheric 14C has been known for many decades, the construction of a national-scale emission estimate based on atmospheric 14Crequired the simultaneous development of precise measurement techniques and an emissions estimation framework, largely spearheaded over the past 15 years by NOAA scientist John Miller and University of Colorado scientist Scott Lehman. He is now a scientist at NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center in Maryland. “This is a new, independent, and objective method for evaluating emission inventories that is based on what we actually observe in the atmosphere,” said lead author Sourish Basu, who was a CIRES scientist working at NOAA during the study. Knowing the location, date and time when the air samples were taken, the research team used a model of atmospheric transport to disentangle the CO 2variations due to fossil fuel combustion from other natural sources and sinks, and traced the man-made variations to the fossil CO2 sources at the surface. Careful laboratory analysis can identify the degree of 14C-depletion of the CO 2 in discrete air samples, which reflects the contribution from fossil fuel combustion and cement manufacturing (which also has no 14C), otherwise known as the “fossil CO 2” contribution. The carbon in fossil fuels has been buried for millions of years and therefore is completely devoid of 14C. In a paper published in the journal the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, they report the first-ever national scale estimate of fossil-fuel derived carbon dioxide (CO 2) emissions obtained by observing CO 2 and its naturally occurring radioisotope, carbon-14, from air samples collected by NOAA’s Global Greenhouse Gas Reference Network.Ĭarbon-14, or 14C, a very rare isotope of carbon created largely by cosmic rays, has a half-life of 5,700 years. Researchers from NOAA and the University of Colorado Boulder have devised a breakthrough method for estimating national emissions of carbon dioxide from fossil fuels using ambient air samples and a well-known isotope of carbon that scientists have relied on for decades to date archaeological sites.
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One of the missing features that irk us the most is that there’s no way to find recently added contacts on your iPhone, which is a feature one needs if one attends lots of meetings. There are so many missing features that it makes more sense to use a third-party app like Cardhop to manage your contacts. While Reminders, Apple Notes, Mail, and other stock apps have received love from Apple, the Contacts app on iPhone is eating dust in the corner. Or you can just download and use this shortcut, and enjoy all the features that it brings.ĭownload UControl V2 3. If you just want the capability of turning on/off Bluetooth and WiFi, I have published an article that shows how you can create a shortcut yourself. Since you cannot turn off WiFi or Bluetooth from Control Center, this shortcut comes in handy. I run it from the Shortcuts widget area and use it to do things like turning off WiFi and Bluetooth, muting the phone, enabling do not disturb, and more. Think of it as your Control Center but better. This is one of the best Siri Shortcuts, and I use it constantly. You can use the link below to learn to create the shortcut or directly download the shortcut if that’s what you prefer.Ĭreate delete Safari browsing history and data shortcut / download the shortcut 2. With this shortcut, you only tap on the shortcut and confirm deleting your Safari history and data on the pop-up. You no longer need to dig into your Safari history and cookies and find where your iPhone stores them. That’s why we have showcased how you can create and use a shortcut to quickly delete your Safari browsing history and data with just a couple of taps. Delete Safari browsing history and dataĭeleting Safari browsing history and data can be time-intensive work on your iPhone. Apple Reminders quick entry shortcut for Macġ. Create a playlist of your most-played songs Get song links for multiple streaming platforms You can check out the entire list using the table of content below. Now that you know how to add shortcuts to your app, let’s get to our list. Just click on the download links we have provided and use the Add Shortcut button to add the shortcut to your library. Previously, you had to go to the Settings app on your iPhone and allow to install shortcuts from third-party links. Installing shortcuts has become simplified over the years. If you are interested in such a guide, let us know in the comments below. We are planning on writing a separate guide for Shortcuts on Mac. Also, some of the shortcuts are specially meant for iPhone or iPad. So now, when we say shortcuts or Siri shortcuts, we essentially mean the same thing.Īlso, while Apple has released the Shortcuts app for the Mac, not all shortcuts mentioned on this list will work on your Mac, as the app is still very much a work in progress on the macOS platform. Now any shortcut you create or install on your iPhone in the Shortcuts app can be executed using Siri commands. When Apple launched iOS 12, there was a clear distinction between regular shortcuts and Siri Shortcuts.
Still, the education department has a mixed track record when it comes to creating virtual options. Chalkbeat previously reported that as some districts separated virtual academies from their regular schools, there tended to be less interest in them in part because there were fewer opportunities to interact with their classmates and teachers.īefore the pandemic, New York City experimented with remote learning on a small scale, including a pilot program intended to expand access to advanced coursework for students attending 15 schools in the Bronx. Los Angeles, the nation’s second largest school district behind New York City, plans to launch new virtual schools this fall. Philadelphia and Detroit created virtual academies during the pandemic. Denver previously offered a virtual high school option but has since expanded to cover other grades. Some districts across the country, including Denver, ran virtual programs before the pandemic led to mass closures in March 2020. The city’s district schools have seen enrollment slide about 6.4% since the pandemic hit. Depending on the number of students who are allowed to enroll, the virtual schools could exacerbate enrollment problems at brick-and-mortar campuses, potentially redirecting funding from some campuses and creating more pressure to consolidate or close them. If students are allowed to enroll in separate virtual schools, that could create headaches for some schools and district leaders. Nathaniel Styer, a department spokesperson, wrote that the department “will have more to say soon.”ĭick Riley, a spokesperson for the United Federation of Teachers, wrote in an email that the union “had some initial conversations” about the virtual schools “but nothing concrete so far.” City officials did not answer emailed questions about how they will operate, such as which grades will be served, when they would start, or who would staff the program. Many details are unclear about the new virtual schools. The city’s current programming for those students typically only offers an hour a day of instruction. It may also appeal to families whose children have more significant medical issues that make them vulnerable to COVID or other illnesses. Standalone virtual schools that rely on separate teaching staff would ease that burden, though it’s not clear if that is the model officials are planning.Ī virtual model would likely appeal to parents who have lingering fears about the virus or whose children preferred remote instruction. But he indicated it was difficult to negotiate with the city’s teachers union and the option never materialized.Ĭreating separate virtual schools may help overcome one of the key problems with virtual learning during the pandemic: the task fell to individual schools to figure out how to simultaneously staff in-person and remote classrooms. And, amid the Omicron surge this winter, the schools chief said he hoped to revive virtual learning as many parents kept their children home out of fear of exposure or were stuck in quarantines. He added that students should be “exposed to the best teaching, the best experiences all over the world.”īanks has signaled since taking office in January that he’s interested in creating more permanent virtual learning options, even as the city has required all students to attend in person this school year. “I believe that virtual learning is here to stay whether or not we have a pandemic,” schools Chancellor David Banks said. About 37% of the city’s K-12 students are on track to be chronically absent, defined as missing at least 10% of the school year, substantially higher than the years before the pandemic. New York City is planning to launch two fully virtual schools, top education department officials said during a City Council hearing on Tuesday, though key details about how and when they will be created have yet to be revealed.Ĭity officials told local lawmakers that launching the “full-time” virtual schools will be part of the solution to high rates of chronic absenteeism and re-engaging students in the wake of pandemic disruption. What makes it awful and cringeworthy today is the decision not to cast a Japanese actor for the switcheroo, but to put Stockwell in embarrassing yellow face, complete with a Mickey Rooney-in- Breakfast at Tiffany’s accent.ġ52. The story of a WWII American soldier (Dean Stockwell) magically finding himself fighting on the Japanese side could have gone down in Twilight Zone history as a fine but unmemorable example of its many shoe-on-the-other-foot fables. Predictably, the man uses his new powers in a series of sequences reminiscent of George Reeves-era Superman, only to have the episode fizzle out when it runs out of ideas for lame set pieces. If The Twilight Zone has an acting MVP, it’s Burgess Meredith, but even Meredith’s natural warmth can’t save this gaudy slapstick episode about a one-dimensional buffoon given super strength by a duo of Martians (two bald men wrapped around a funeral shroud). The episode is known for including a brief appearance by Burt Reynolds, but that’s not enough to give this one a chance.ġ54. Jack Weston mugs too frenziedly to the camera as a TV writer who conjures William Shakespeare (John Williams, as an elementary school-level imitation of “The Bard”) in order to steal his ideas. This is one of the rare episodes in which such a person is not only presented as charming, but also gets rewarded for duplicitous behavior. The Twilight Zone is known for putting toxic characters in their place through ironic cosmic justice. The premise, in which a wisecracking genie (Jack Albertson) puts a lovesick schlub (Howard Morris) into different scenarios so he can “conquer” his workplace crush, predates the Dudley Moore-Peter Cook classic Bedazzled. Add in the series’ ratio of strikes to hits when it comes to comedy, and “I Dream of Genie” sticks out like the pilot of a long and lazy sitcom. The Twilight Zone’s fables were fine for the half-hour format, but overstayed their welcome when doubled in length, with lots of repetitive filler. The bottom of this list contains a number of titles from the ill-fated fourth season, when CBS decided to extend each episode to an hour. It seems nothing beats a classic, so below is a ranking of every original Twilight Zone episode from worst to best to aid in your own first-time viewing or rewatch: Then came Jordan Peele, whose socially conscious horror masterwork Get Out suggested him as the perfect creative mind to carry Serling’s mantle: Fresh off the debut of his sophomore feature, Us, Peele’s 2019 spin on Serling’s series also aired one hit or miss season on CBS All Access (now Paramount+). The film’s success led to a 1985 reboot of the series, which aired for three seasons, and a 2002 version hosted by Forest Whitaker, which lasted only one. A Twilight Zone movie premiered in 1983, comprised mostly of remakes of classic episodes directed by the period’s Hollywood power players of the time. The enduring popularity of the concept has also allowed several continuations of its own. Since the original came to an end in 1964, fans have debated the best The Twilight Zone episodes (with worst Twilight Zone episodes largely ignored in syndication or TV marathons). For instance, its first copycat, The Outer Limits, was so successful its own right that it already enjoyed a seven-season reboot in the 1990s, and it would be impossible to imagine the popular Black Mirror series without The Twilight Zone’s influence. Perhaps the only detriment to being a hardcore Twilight Zone fan is the knowledge that even the most “original” high-concept movie, TV series, or novel can often be traced back to at least one episode of the series, which premiered in 1959: After all, its central themes-fear, paranoia, prejudice, greed, ego, and so on-are timeless. This made certain that “genre” fare could no longer be dismissed as mere child’s play. In the introduction to his invaluable book The Twilight Zone Companion, Marc Scott Zicree calls Rod Serling’s game-changer a “flower booming in a television desert.” It’s hard to overstate the series’ impact on our understanding of TV’s potential for telling bold, complex stories, not to mention the genres of science fiction, horror, and fantasy: In addition to defining the anthology series form, top Twilight Zone episodes embody Serling’s vision for weekly short stories with complex moral and existential quandaries. Louis on a beautiful Friday evening, and I was able to catch a glimpse of the Arch at sunset before arriving at the Missouri Athletic Club, the host site of the conference, for a pre-conference happy hour with other attendees. Louis, Missouri to attend the 58th annual meeting of the Central Slavic Conference. If you need a visa to visit, here’s how to get one.In late February, I made the seven-hour drive from Lansing, Michigan to St. Read more about Missouri and check out the other 49 states. The personal home of Truman, the 33rd president of the United States, and his presidential library are both in Independence, on the outskirts of Kansas City. President Harry Truman returned to the state after he left the White House in 1953. During the summer on Friday and Saturday you may see two of Twain’s characters, Tom Sawyer and Becky Thatcher, strolling the grounds, dressed the way they would have in 1876, the year Twain’s The Adventures of Tom Sawyer was published. Writer Mark Twain’s boyhood home and a museum dedicated to his writings are in Hannibal, about 160 kilometers northwest of St. See how two of the most famous Missourians lived. Famous Missourians: Mark Twain and Harry Truman (Courtesy photo) Louis as well as at Warm Springs Ranch, the 120-hectare Clydesdale breeding farm located near Boonville, Missouri. Check out their gilded stables at the Anheuser-Busch brewery in St. Missouri is home to one of the world’s most famous teams of horses: the Budweiser Clydesdales. The famed Budweiser Clydesdales (Courtesy photo) Also in Branson: Dolly Parton’s Dixie Stampede dinner theater, which includes 32 horses and riders doing trick riding. Like Vegas, Branson has a “strip,” but here it has developed to be more welcoming to children, with Silver Dollar City, an 1800s-themed amusement park. A little bit country and wholesome fun (Courtesy photo)īranson, in southwest Missouri, is known as the family-friendly alternative to Las Vegas, as the town has nearly 100 live music shows. Joplin, an African-American composer and pianist, wasn’t born in Sedalia, but he did attend college there and met the musical influences that would shape him and this genre of music. Ragtime music is celebrated every June during the weeklong Scott Joplin Ragtime Festival in Sedalia. During the day it’s part of the American Jazz Museum, located in the historic 18th & Vine Jazz District in Kansas City. All that jazz (Courtesy photo)įour nights a week, the Blue Room looks like a 1930s nightclub and resonates with the sounds of Kansas City jazz. The Missouri River meets the Mississippi River about 15 miles north of the arch. The Mississippi River flows directly below the east windows of the arch. Made of steel and concrete, the arch stands 630 feet tall, which is 63 stories or 192 meters. Visitors can ride a tram to the top of the Gateway Arch. Ride to the top of the arch (Courtesy photo) Between both of those cities is Jefferson City, the state capital. Louis is on Missouri’s eastern border with Illinois. Kansas also has a Kansas City - that city is much smaller and lies four miles away from Kansas City, Missouri. Kansas City is Missouri’s largest city, on the state’s western edge straddling the border with Kansas. You have got to show me.” However the slogan originated, it has come to represent what Missourians describe as their “noncredulous character.” The expression is usually attributed to Missouri Congressman Willard Duncan Vandiver, who in 1898 said, “I am from Missouri. The risk dimensions, probability of occurrence (uncertainty) and impact (effect) are captured in the Estimated Monetary Value (EMV) formula. With insights around probability and impact, the risk assessment work moves to determining the monetary value of risk for the entire project. Probability and Impact MatrixĪ grid for mapping the probability of occurrence of each risk and its impact on project objectives if that risk occurs. A probability and impact matrix, or as some call it, the probability and impact matrix PMP, connects the probability of a risk and the impact of that risk. Impact ValueĬost of work and resources used to address an identified risk when it occursĪ risk can impact both costs and schedule. It is always expressed as a monetary value. Impact value is the term for the cost to the project if a risk occurs. A risk assessment is incomplete without the other risk dimension: impact. The probability of showing Side 1 = (Number of favorable events) / (Total number of events).Total number of events = 2 (because the coin can either show Side A or Side B).This is that moment when a coin is tossed in the air and witnesses say quickly “Heads!” or “Tails!” reflecting their guess as to which side will land face up. The coin is tossed in the air, and the question is, what are the chances, the “probability” if you will, that it will land on Side A. The formula requires two data points: number of favorable events possible and the total number of events possible.Ī coin has two sides: one side (“heads”) is Side A, and the other (“tails”) is Side B. The probability of occurrence formula, also known to some as the “probability of occurrence formula PMP” is a tool for determining the chance that a given risk will occur. Probability matters for risk assessment and management because if there is a low probability of a risk, resources may need to be directed towards those risks with a high probability of occurrence. Project managers use tools like expert judgement or historical information from past projects to determine the probability of a particular risk occurring. Project Managers, including those working to earn a PMP® credential status, need to know the meaning of probability as part of risk assessment efforts. Probability DefinedĪ risk has the potential for a favorable outcome or a negative outcome, and in either case there is an outcome that should be considered during planning. Opportunityįrom here, the project manager needs to do a risk assessment of the probability of that each risk could happen. For risk assessment, it must have a risk-neutral assumption for proper judgment between opportunities and threats. RiskĪn uncertain event or condition that, if it occurs, has a positive or negative effect on one or more project objectives.Īssessing a risk is part of what is sometimes referred to as “probability of occurrence pmp.” One of the first steps in a risk assessment is examining each risk and determining if it is an opportunity or a threat. For risks with a potential negative impact, referred to as “threats,” the project manager should guide the work to prevent or mitigate the chances of it occurring. All risks are not bad and some lead to innovations and positive outcomes. Why would risk be managed to maximize the impact? If it is deemed a favorable risk or in other words, an “opportunity.” Perhaps the risk leads to the outcome of reduced costs or being first to market thus increasing sales. Project managers are responsible for identifying risks for projects and managing the work to maximize, prevent, and/or mitigate them. Especially since I'm the ONLY one being watched like this. I feel like someone being constantly monitored has the right to know that they are. It just bothers me a little that I can be watched whenever, and they never even disclosed that. I'm not entirely mad, and I guess I understand the reasoning, like making sure I'm 'on task' or some s***. And I don't even deal with money or anything that could be stolen. The camera is pointed specifically at ME. They explained further: "I've looked at everyone else's offices and didn't see a single camera. The employee was spooked after noticing that the camera was "pointed directly" at themselves instead of the desk or the door. "Anything that seemed to hint at me being watched was also said or done ambiguously enough that they weren't revealing anything about being able to see me, as if I'm not SUPPOSED to know I'm being watched, and that's what is unsettling to me." The few times I had spent an excessive amount of time on my phone were times that the 'hey guys! Let me know if you guys need anything to work on, I know things are slow' messages would trickle in. Listen for crackling, clicking, or buzzing from your phone. Walk around the room with your phone on speakerphone. This isnt a perfect system, but it will help you find certain types of cameras: 5 Make a call on your cell phone, and leave the caller on the line. "My other boss has also indirectly responded to my actions in the group chat. Use your cell phone to scan for interference. But immediately after that incident, I scanned around the room, and I found a camera nestled into a cubby with a small wire that leads into his adjacent office. "But it was casual at the same time so it wasn't a direct allusion to the camera he has. He said something to me that threw me off, and I knew he wouldn't have brought it up unless he had been watching me do something. "On my first day of the job, I realised my boss was too 'aware' of my actions. And MY individual office room is the only office with a camera in it. View /protect-plans for pricing and details.ĤRequires integration with Key by Amazon.The Reddit user went on: "But, the camera in my office isn't any sort of built-in fixture. You may purchase a standalone Allstate Plan by going to and searching for an Allstate Plan.ĢThis product can’t be shipped to Pleasant Camp, British Columbia Fort Severn, Ontario Nain, Newfoundland and Labrador Old Crow, Yukon Kangiqsualujjuaq, Quebec Ivujivik, Quebec Bathurst Inlet, Nunavut Sachs Harbour, Northwest Territories Grise Fiord, Nunavut or Alert, Nunavut.ģRing Alarm and all Ring Alarm accessories require a subscription for digital notifications, in-app features, digital arming/disarming, and integration with other Ring, Echo, and third party products. The cost for the Allstate Protection Plan is included in the cost of the Ring Protect Plan. In the U.S., in lieu of the Ring extended warranty, Eligible Ring Devices are covered via a service contract administered by SquareTrade, an Allstate company SquareTrade/Allstate terms are available here. Non-Ring and other third-party devices are not eligible for the extended warranty. Snapshot Capture photos in the cloud are stored up to 7 days.įor extended warranty coverage, "Eligible Ring Devices" are Ring devices covered by an active Protect Plus/Pro Plan, if the Ring device was under the 1-year manufacturer’s warranty period at the time you added the device to your Protect Plus/Pro Plan. Changing your video storage time will only affect videos that are recorded after you adjust your storage time setting. 519.99 See Details Compare Camscura Tilt Hidden Camera Covert cam with an adjustable lens hides in plain sight in your home or office 79.95 129.95 Free 2-Day Shipping See Details Compare HD WiFi Hardwired Smoke Detector Hidden C Hardwired camera hidden inside a faux smoke detector connects to app via WiFi 359. Your Ring videos in the cloud are stored temporarily, up to 180 days. Terms and conditions apply.įree trial is not applicable for locations with an existing Ring Protect Plus or Protect Pro subscription. 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